← All fights/Event page

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Joachim Christensen won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1362

Elo1491

Bojan MihajlovicvsJoachim ChristensenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · Sunday, January 15, 2017Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Joachim Christensen won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:05

Model Prediction: Joachim Christensen wins(58.2%)

Actual result: Joachim Christensen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joachim Christensen at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joachim Christensen is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Bojan Mihajlovic has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Bojan Mihajlovic has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bojan Mihajlovic

Red Corner

Joachim Christensen

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1362

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bojan MihajlovicL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jul 16

KOvs Abdul-Kerim Edilov · Sep 17

latest

Joachim ChristensenL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Henrique da Silva · Oct 16

SUBvs Gadzhimurad Antigulov · May 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bojan MihajlovicMetricJoachim Christensen

1.23

Strikes / min

3.78

5.95

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

47%

Strike defense

46%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

33%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-4.72Δ 5.21 — meaningful gap+0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bojan MihajlovicJoachim Christensen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bojan Mihajlovic(3 fights)Joachim Christensen(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -129.1|Blue +129.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bojan MihajlovicTargetJoachim Christensen

By target zone

19% acc · 27%

Head

32% acc · 59%

67% acc · 36%

Body

94% acc · 37%

80% acc · 36%

Leg

40% acc · 5%

By position

36% acc · 77%

Distance

32% acc · 49%

71% acc · 23%

Clinch

71% acc · 37%

Ground

50% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bojan Mihajlovic rounds

even

Joachim Christensen rounds

Round 1Joachim Christensen edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:06

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:40Control

Round 2Joachim Christensen edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control1:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 3Joachim Christensen edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:11Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 54

Sig Strikes

41 / 95

36%

Sig Str %

46.7%

31 / 65

Total Strikes

139 / 199

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:06

Ctrl Time

5:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Joachim Christensen	14 / 37	57 / 82	0 / 0
1	Bojan Mihajlovic	6 / 14	14 / 23	0 / 0
2	Joachim Christensen	15 / 40	52 / 79	0 / 0
2	Bojan Mihajlovic	14 / 30	15 / 32	0 / 0
3	Joachim Christensen	12 / 18	30 / 38	0 / 1
3	Bojan Mihajlovic	2 / 10	2 / 10	0 / 0

Bojan Mihajlovic

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3

Joachim Christensen

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3