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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Thiago Moises won · U-DEC

Elo1445

Elo1486

Bobby GreenvsThiago MoisesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · Saturday, October 31, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Thiago Moises won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Bobby Green wins(65.7%)

Actual result: Thiago Moises wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bobby Green at -335 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Bobby Green

Red Corner

Thiago Moises

Blue Corner

-335

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1445

Elo

1486

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bobby GreenL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21

KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22

KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22

KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22

latest

Thiago MoisesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24

vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24

vs Trey Ogden · Jan 25

KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25

DECvs Gauge Young · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bobby GreenMetricThiago Moises

—

Strikes / min

2.52

—

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

—

Strike defense

52%

—

TDs / 15 min

1.37

—

Takedown defense

52%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bobby GreenThiago Moises

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bobby Green(10 fights)Thiago Moises(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -40.4|Blue +40.4

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -122.0|Blue +122.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Thiago Moises

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15