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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rashid Magomedov won · S-DEC R3
Elo1445
Elo1491

Bobby GreenvsRashid MagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · Saturday, April 15, 2017Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Rashid Magomedov won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rashid Magomedov wins(67.1%)

Actual result: Rashid Magomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rashid Magomedov at -330 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Bobby Green
Red Corner
VS
Rashid Magomedov
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
1445
Elo
1491
30
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bobby GreenL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21
W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21
W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22
L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22
latest
Rashid Magomedov
oldest →
W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Feb 14
W
vs Rodrigo Damm · May 14
W
KOvs Elias Silverio · Dec 14
W
vs Gilbert Burns · Nov 15
L
vs Beneil Dariush · Nov 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bobby GreenMetricRashid Magomedov
—
Strikes / min
4.40
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.67
—
Takedown defense
89%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1539 vs 1558Strikes46.5 vs 64.2Takedowns0.7 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.17 vs 0.20Form-0.5 vs -0.1
Bobby GreenRashid Magomedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Bobby Green(10 fights)Rashid Magomedov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -45.4|Blue +45.4
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9

Rashid Magomedov

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6