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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Bobby Green won · U-DEC R3

Elo1445

Elo1510

Bobby GreenvsNasrat HaqparastUFC Prediction Result

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Saturday, February 12, 2022Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Bobby Green won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nasrat Haqparast wins(54.8%)

Actual result: Bobby Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nasrat Haqparast at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Bobby Green

Red Corner

Nasrat Haqparast

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1445

Elo

1510

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bobby GreenL2 streak

oldest →

vs Thiago Moises · Oct 20

vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21

KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21

KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22

KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22

latest

Nasrat Haqparast

oldest →

vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23

KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23

vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24

vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bobby GreenMetricNasrat Haqparast

—

Strikes / min

6.36

—

Strikes absorbed / min

6.00

—

Strike defense

63%

—

TDs / 15 min

0.34

—

Takedown defense

86%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bobby GreenNasrat Haqparast

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bobby Green(10 fights)Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -64.6|Blue +64.6

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Nasrat Haqparast

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15