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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Bobby Green won · U-DEC
Elo1445
Elo1425
Alan Patrick

Bobby GreenvsAlan PatrickUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Saturday, September 12, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bobby Green won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Bobby Green wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Bobby Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bobby Green at -295 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Alan Patrick (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Bobby Green
Red Corner
VS
Alan Patrick
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+227
(31%)
1445
Elo
1425
34
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bobby GreenL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21
W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21
W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22
L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22
latest
Alan PatrickL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Damien Brown · Mar 16
W
vs Stevie Ray · Sep 16
W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 18
L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Oct 18
L
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bobby GreenMetricAlan Patrick
—
Strikes / min
1.82
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.95
—
Strike defense
43%
—
TDs / 15 min
3.01
—
Takedown defense
43%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1542 vs 1552Strikes5.2 vs 1.9Takedowns1.3 vs 3.9Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.40Form0.5 vs -0.2
Bobby GreenAlan Patrick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Bobby Green(10 fights)Alan Patrick(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +20.6|Blue -20.6
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -665.0|Blue +665.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9

Alan Patrick

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9