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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Charles Radtke won · U-DEC R3

Elo1472

Elo1526

Blood DiamondvsCharles RadtkeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Saturday, September 9, 2023Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Charles Radtke won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBlood Diamond: StrikervsCharles Radtke: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Charles Radtke wins(57.4%)

Actual result: Charles Radtke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charles Radtke has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Blood Diamond (52.9%).
Blood Diamond has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Blood Diamond

Red Corner

Charles Radtke

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1472

Elo

1526

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'9"

193.04 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Blood DiamondL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 22

vs Orion Cosce · Jul 22

latest

Charles RadtkeW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Prates · Jun 24

KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Nov 24

KOvs Mike Malott · May 25

SUBvs Daniel Frunza · Nov 25

DECvs Francisco Prado · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Blood DiamondMetricCharles Radtke

3.12

Strikes / min

2.50

2.17

Strikes absorbed / min

2.45

48%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.99

73%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Blood DiamondCharles Radtke

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Blood Diamond(3 fights)Charles Radtke(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -54.5|Blue +54.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Blood DiamondTargetCharles Radtke

By target zone

33% acc · 43%

Head

43% acc · 89%

68% acc · 43%

Body

100% acc · 11%

75% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 43%

Distance

46% acc · 77%

69% acc · 57%

Clinch

47% acc · 23%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Blood Diamond rounds

even

Charles Radtke rounds

Round 1Charles Radtke edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:55Control

Round 2Charles Radtke edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:07

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:43Control

Round 3Blood Diamond edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:14

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 94

Sig Strikes

35 / 76

41.7%

Sig Str %

43%

75 / 136

Total Strikes

63 / 112

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 6

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:21

Ctrl Time

9:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Charles Radtke	4 / 11	18 / 28	1 / 2
1	Blood Diamond	4 / 13	9 / 19	0 / 1
2	Charles Radtke	20 / 39	25 / 46	0 / 1
2	Blood Diamond	13 / 34	24 / 48	0 / 1
3	Charles Radtke	11 / 26	20 / 38	0 / 3
3	Blood Diamond	27 / 47	42 / 69	0 / 1

Blood Diamond

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3

Charles Radtke

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights6