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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Blagoy Ivanov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1467

Elo1494

Blagoy IvanovvsBen RothwellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, March 9, 2019Wichita, Kansas, USA

Official fight result

Blagoy Ivanov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBlagoy Ivanov: Well-roundedvsBen Rothwell: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Blagoy Ivanov wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Blagoy Ivanov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Blagoy Ivanov at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Blagoy Ivanov (53.5%).
Ben Rothwell has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Blagoy Ivanov

Red Corner

Ben Rothwell

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1467

Elo

1494

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'4"

185.42 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Blagoy IvanovL2 streak

oldest →

vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 19

vs Augusto Sakai · May 20

vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 22

vs Marcin Tybura · Feb 23

vs Alexandr Romanov · Jul 23

latest

Ben Rothwell

oldest →

KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19

vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20

vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20

SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21

KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Blagoy IvanovMetricBen Rothwell

3.25

Strikes / min

3.71

4.20

Strikes absorbed / min

4.63

53%

Strike defense

47%

0.69

TDs / 15 min

0.68

61%

Takedown defense

70%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.95evenly matched on net striking-0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Blagoy IvanovBen Rothwell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)Ben Rothwell(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -27.5|Blue +27.5

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -825.0|Blue +825.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Blagoy IvanovTargetBen Rothwell

By target zone

32% acc · 69%

Head

35% acc · 67%

100% acc · 26%

Body

60% acc · 9%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

94% acc · 24%

By position

40% acc · 97%

Distance

43% acc · 99%

67% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Blagoy Ivanov rounds

even

Ben Rothwell rounds

Round 1Blagoy Ivanov edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ben Rothwell edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 178

Sig Strikes

70 / 163

41%

Sig Str %

42.3%

73 / 179

Total Strikes

70 / 163

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ben Rothwell	9 / 22	9 / 22	0 / 0
1	Blagoy Ivanov	19 / 39	19 / 39	0 / 0
2	Ben Rothwell	28 / 59	28 / 59	0 / 0
2	Blagoy Ivanov	29 / 75	29 / 75	0 / 0
3	Ben Rothwell	33 / 82	33 / 82	0 / 0
3	Blagoy Ivanov	24 / 64	25 / 65	0 / 0

Blagoy Ivanov

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8

Ben Rothwell

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights16