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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Augusto Sakai won · S-DEC R3

Elo1467

Elo1496

Blagoy IvanovvsAugusto SakaiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · Saturday, May 30, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Augusto Sakai won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBlagoy Ivanov: Well-roundedvsAugusto Sakai: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Augusto Sakai wins(69.4%)

Actual result: Augusto Sakai wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Augusto Sakai at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Blagoy Ivanov (53.5%).
Augusto Sakai has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Blagoy Ivanov

Red Corner

Augusto Sakai

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1467

Elo

1496

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Blagoy IvanovL2 streak

oldest →

vs Tai Tuivasa · Jun 19

vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 19

vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 22

vs Marcin Tybura · Feb 23

vs Alexandr Romanov · Jul 23

latest

Augusto Sakai

oldest →

KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20

KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 21

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 21

KOvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 22

vs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Blagoy IvanovMetricAugusto Sakai

3.25

Strikes / min

4.60

4.20

Strikes absorbed / min

3.83

53%

Strike defense

48%

0.69

TDs / 15 min

0.23

61%

Takedown defense

56%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.95Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Blagoy IvanovAugusto Sakai

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)Augusto Sakai(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -29.6|Blue +29.6

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Blagoy IvanovTargetAugusto Sakai

By target zone

45% acc · 71%

Head

33% acc · 45%

95% acc · 27%

Body

74% acc · 36%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

83% acc · 19%

By position

49% acc · 79%

Distance

43% acc · 79%

80% acc · 18%

Clinch

93% acc · 18%

67% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Blagoy Ivanov rounds

even

Augusto Sakai rounds

Round 1Blagoy Ivanov edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:29

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control0:39

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:02Control

Round 3Augusto Sakai edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:26Control

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 125

Sig Strikes

78 / 161

52.7%

Sig Str %

45.7%

71 / 130

Total Strikes

89 / 174

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:08

Ctrl Time

1:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Augusto Sakai	12 / 38	16 / 42	0 / 0
1	Blagoy Ivanov	15 / 27	19 / 31	0 / 0
2	Augusto Sakai	34 / 61	39 / 68	0 / 0
2	Blagoy Ivanov	30 / 49	31 / 50	1 / 2
3	Augusto Sakai	32 / 62	34 / 64	0 / 0
3	Blagoy Ivanov	21 / 49	21 / 49	0 / 1

Blagoy Ivanov

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8

Augusto Sakai

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights9