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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ramiz Brahimaj won · SUB R1
Elo1486
Elo1512
Ramiz Brahimaj editorial illustration

Billy Ray GoffvsRamiz BrahimajUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · Saturday, May 31, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ramiz Brahimaj won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:16

Style matchupBilly Ray Goff: Pressure fightervsRamiz Brahimaj: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Billy Ray Goff wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Ramiz Brahimaj wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Billy Ray Goff at -405 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ramiz Brahimaj threatens submissions; Billy Ray Goff has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Billy Ray Goff has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Billy Ray Goff has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Billy Ray Goff (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Billy Ray Goff
Red Corner
VS
Ramiz Brahimaj
Blue Corner
-405
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
1486
Elo
1512
28
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Billy Ray Goff
oldest →
W
KOvs Yusaku Kinoshita · Aug 23
L
vs Trey Waters · May 24
latest
Ramiz Brahimaj
oldest →
W
SUBvs Micheal Gillmore · Feb 22
L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 24
W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Nov 24
W
SUBvs Austin Vanderford · Oct 25
L
vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Billy Ray GoffMetricRamiz Brahimaj
7.51
Strikes / min
2.29
5.02
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
59%
Strike defense
47%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
1.99
66%
Takedown defense
44%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.49Δ 3.47 — meaningful gap-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1500Strikes7.5 vs 2.3Takedowns1.8 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.60Form-0.3 vs 0.2
Billy Ray GoffRamiz Brahimaj

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Billy Ray Goff(3 fights)Ramiz Brahimaj(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -25.8|Blue +25.8
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +189.0|Blue -189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Billy Ray GoffTargetRamiz Brahimaj

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
0
1
50% acc · 100%
Body
1
100% acc · 100%
0
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
0
1
100% acc · 100%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 100%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Billy Ray Goff rounds
0
even
1
Ramiz Brahimaj rounds
Round 1Ramiz Brahimaj edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:59
1Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 3
Sig Strikes
1 / 1
33%
Sig Str %
100%
2 / 4
Total Strikes
9 / 10
0 / 1
TDs
2 / 3
0%
TD %
66%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:59
Ctrl Time
1:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ramiz Brahimaj1 / 19 / 102 / 31
1Billy Ray Goff1 / 32 / 40 / 10

Billy Ray Goff

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3

Ramiz Brahimaj

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9