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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Billy Quarantillo won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Billy Quarantillo editorial illustration
Elo1495
Damon Jackson

Billy QuarantillovsDamon JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · Saturday, August 5, 2023Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Billy Quarantillo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBilly Quarantillo: Submission grapplervsDamon Jackson: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Billy Quarantillo wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Billy Quarantillo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Billy Quarantillo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Billy Quarantillo has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Billy Quarantillo
Red Corner
VS
Damon Jackson
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1493
Elo
1495
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Billy QuarantilloL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Shane Burgos · Nov 21
W
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Dec 22
L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23
L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Mar 24
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 24
latest
Damon JacksonL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Pat Sabatini · Sep 22
L
KOvs Dan Ige · Jan 23
W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Apr 24
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Aug 24
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Billy QuarantilloMetricDamon Jackson
7.44
Strikes / min
2.96
5.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
42%
Strike defense
49%
1.47
TDs / 15 min
2.30
61%
Takedown defense
37%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.61Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1529 vs 1533Strikes7.4 vs 2.9Takedowns1.2 vs 2.3Sub Atts1.10 vs 1.20Form-0.2 vs 0.3
Billy QuarantilloDamon Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)Damon Jackson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Billy QuarantilloTargetDamon Jackson

By target zone

45
36% acc · 45%
Head
45
32% acc · 67%
49
86% acc · 49%
Body
19
61% acc · 28%
6
86% acc · 6%
Leg
3
100% acc · 4%

By position

58
41% acc · 58%
Distance
53
36% acc · 79%
42
88% acc · 42%
Clinch
10
67% acc · 15%
0
Ground
4
40% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Billy Quarantillo rounds
0
even
1
Damon Jackson rounds
Round 1Damon Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:13Control
Round 2Billy Quarantillo edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control1:02
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:18Control
Round 3Billy Quarantillo edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:49
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:39Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
100 / 188
Sig Strikes
67 / 173
50.7%
Sig Str %
37.7%
169 / 270
Total Strikes
75 / 184
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 13
TD %
29.7%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:51
Ctrl Time
6:10

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Damon Jackson28 / 6234 / 701 / 20
1Billy Quarantillo15 / 3534 / 580 / 01
2Damon Jackson13 / 4815 / 501 / 70
2Billy Quarantillo40 / 6958 / 910 / 00
3Damon Jackson26 / 6326 / 641 / 40
3Billy Quarantillo45 / 8477 / 1210 / 00

Billy Quarantillo

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11

Damon Jackson

StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12