Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bia Mesquita threatens submissions; Irina Alekseeva has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Bia Mesquita has 35pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Irina Alekseeva has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bia MesquitaW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Montse Rendon · Mar 26W
SUBvs Melissa Mullins · Jun 26 Irina AlekseevaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Apr 23L
vs Melissa Mullins · Oct 23L
vs Klaudia Sygula · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bia MesquitaMetricIrina Alekseeva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+5.14Δ 6.74 — meaningful gap-1.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bia MesquitaIrina Alekseeva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bia Mesquita(3 fights)Irina Alekseeva(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +99.1|Blue -99.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bia MesquitaTargetIrina Alekseeva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bia Mesquita edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns1
Control3:47
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bia Mesquita edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control1:06
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
