Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rodrigo Damm enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Antonio Carvalho has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carvalho
oldest →L
vs Felipe Arantes · Jan 12W
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Jul 12L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 13 Rodrigo DammL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Jun 13L
vs Rashid Magomedov · May 14L
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio CarvalhoMetricRodrigo Damm
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.59Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Antonio CarvalhoRodrigo Damm
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carvalho(4 fights)Rodrigo Damm(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.1|Blue -136.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Antonio CarvalhoTargetRodrigo Damm
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Antonio Carvalho edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Rodrigo Damm edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
