Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Barry enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Pat Barry is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Shane del Rosario has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Pat Barry has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Shane del Rosario (53.5%).
- Shane del Rosario has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat BarryL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 11W
KOvs Christian Morecraft · Jan 12L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · May 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jun 13L
KOvs Soa Palelei · Dec 13 Shane del Rosario
oldest →L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat BarryMetricShane del Rosario
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.82Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pat BarryShane del Rosario
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Barry(9 fights)Shane del Rosario(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pat BarryTargetShane del Rosario
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Shane del Rosario rounds
Round 1Shane del Rosario edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:19
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:17Control
Round 2Pat Barry edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
