Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessio Sakara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Sakara is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Chris Weidman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alessio SakaraL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs James Irvin · Mar 10L
KOvs Brian Stann · Apr 12L
vs Patrick Cote · Nov 12L
SUBvs Nico Musoke · Oct 13 Chris Weidman
oldest →W
DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alessio SakaraMetricChris Weidman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.16Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alessio SakaraChris Weidman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alessio Sakara(5 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -141.9|Blue +141.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alessio SakaraTargetChris Weidman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:03
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:07Control
Round 3Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:55Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
