Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dan Henderson is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23 Dan Henderson
oldest →L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Jan 15W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15W
KOvs Hector Lombard · Jun 16L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricDan Henderson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.78Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mauricio RuaDan Henderson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Dan Henderson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -43.1|Blue +43.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.3|Blue +47.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mauricio RuaTargetDan Henderson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dan Henderson edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:10
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Dan Henderson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:47
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:13Control
Round 3Dan Henderson edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:07
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
1Knockdowns
Round 4Mauricio Rua edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns3
Control0:30
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:00Control
Round 5Mauricio Rua edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control4:33
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
