Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Russell Doane enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Russell Doane has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kwan Ho Kwak (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Russell DoaneL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Iuri Alcantara · Sep 14L
vs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 15L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16L
SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Feb 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kwan Ho KwakMetricRussell Doane
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kwan Ho KwakRussell Doane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kwan Ho Kwak(2 fights)Russell Doane(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -130.3|Blue +130.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kwan Ho KwakTargetRussell Doane
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Russell Doane edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:12
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
