Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valentina Shevchenko has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa Grasso
oldest →W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26 Valentina ShevchenkoW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Sep 21W
vs Taila Santos · Jun 22L
SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23W
vs Manon Fiorot · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricValentina Shevchenko
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.40evenly matched on net striking+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexa GrassoValentina Shevchenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexa GrassoTargetValentina Shevchenko
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
5
Valentina Shevchenko rounds
Round 1Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:28Control
Round 2Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:57Control
Round 3Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:20Control
Round 4Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:24
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:56Control
Round 5Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:25
14Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
