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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Bevon Lewis won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1389

Bevon LewisvsDequan TownsendUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, January 25, 2020Raleigh, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Bevon Lewis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Dequan Townsend wins(57.9%)

Actual result: Bevon Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dequan Townsend at +310 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bevon Lewis enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bevon Lewis has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Bevon Lewis has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bevon Lewis

Red Corner

Dequan Townsend

Blue Corner

-370

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+310

(24%)

1493

Elo

1389

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

200.66 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bevon LewisL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Uriah Hall · Dec 18

vs Darren Stewart · Jun 19

KOvs Trevin Giles · Nov 20

latest

Dequan TownsendL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dalcha Lungiambula · Jun 19

vs Devin Clark · Feb 20

KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bevon LewisMetricDequan Townsend

3.73

Strikes / min

1.23

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

3.92

54%

Strike defense

38%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

46%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.06Δ 3.75 — meaningful gap-2.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bevon LewisDequan Townsend

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bevon Lewis(4 fights)Dequan Townsend(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +103.3|Blue -103.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bevon LewisTargetDequan Townsend

By target zone

29% acc · 44%

Head

17% acc · 25%

70% acc · 39%

Body

95% acc · 64%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

75% acc · 11%

By position

38% acc · 61%

Distance

32% acc · 57%

58% acc · 39%

Clinch

80% acc · 43%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bevon Lewis rounds

even

Dequan Townsend rounds

Round 1Bevon Lewis edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control2:01

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Bevon Lewis edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control2:55

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Bevon Lewis edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control3:28

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 82

Sig Strikes

28 / 65

37.7%

Sig Str %

42.3%

94 / 146

Total Strikes

55 / 99

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:24

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dequan Townsend	12 / 28	15 / 31	0 / 0
1	Bevon Lewis	17 / 39	42 / 67	0 / 0
2	Dequan Townsend	10 / 22	17 / 31	0 / 0
2	Bevon Lewis	17 / 31	33 / 48	0 / 1
3	Dequan Townsend	6 / 15	23 / 37	0 / 0
3	Bevon Lewis	2 / 12	19 / 31	0 / 2

Bevon Lewis

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4

Dequan Townsend

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4