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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Darren Stewart won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1407

Bevon LewisvsDarren StewartUFC Prediction Result

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · Saturday, June 8, 2019Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Darren Stewart won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBevon Lewis: StrikervsDarren Stewart: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Bevon Lewis wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Darren Stewart wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bevon Lewis at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bevon Lewis has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bevon Lewis

Red Corner

Darren Stewart

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1493

Elo

1407

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

200.66 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bevon Lewis

oldest →

KOvs Uriah Hall · Dec 18

vs Dequan Townsend · Jan 20

KOvs Trevin Giles · Nov 20

latest

Darren StewartL3 streak

oldest →

vs Deron Winn · Oct 19

SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20

vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20

vs Eryk Anders · Jun 21

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bevon LewisMetricDarren Stewart

3.73

Strikes / min

3.05

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

54%

Strike defense

48%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.75

66%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.06Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bevon LewisDarren Stewart

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bevon Lewis(4 fights)Darren Stewart(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +86.0|Blue -86.0

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -29.0|Blue +29.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bevon LewisTargetDarren Stewart

By target zone

27% acc · 42%

Head

21% acc · 37%

52% acc · 39%

Body

83% acc · 17%

50% acc · 19%

Leg

93% acc · 47%

By position

24% acc · 48%

Distance

33% acc · 60%

73% acc · 52%

Clinch

67% acc · 40%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bevon Lewis rounds

even

Darren Stewart rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:37

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 2Bevon Lewis edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:04

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control2:01

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 84

Sig Strikes

30 / 73

36.7%

Sig Str %

40.7%

45 / 98

Total Strikes

40 / 84

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:42

Ctrl Time

1:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Darren Stewart	15 / 27	18 / 30	0 / 0
1	Bevon Lewis	15 / 28	24 / 37	0 / 2
2	Darren Stewart	9 / 30	9 / 30	0 / 0
2	Bevon Lewis	11 / 39	11 / 39	0 / 0
3	Darren Stewart	6 / 16	13 / 24	0 / 0
3	Bevon Lewis	5 / 17	10 / 22	0 / 3

Bevon Lewis

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4

Darren Stewart

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12