← All fights/Event page

Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Bethe Correia won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1409

Elo1354

Bethe CorreiavsShayna BaszlerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · Saturday, August 30, 2014Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Bethe Correia won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:56

Model Prediction: Bethe Correia wins(69.4%)

Actual result: Bethe Correia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bethe Correia at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bethe Correia has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bethe Correia

Red Corner

Shayna Baszler

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1409

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bethe CorreiaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17

SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 21

latest

Shayna Baszler

oldest →

KOvs Amanda Nunes · Mar 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bethe CorreiaMetricShayna Baszler

4.37

Strikes / min

2.49

4.93

Strikes absorbed / min

6.36

56%

Strike defense

51%

0.39

TDs / 15 min

0.67

85%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.56Δ 3.31 — meaningful gap-3.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bethe CorreiaShayna Baszler

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bethe Correia(10 fights)Shayna Baszler(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +54.5|Blue -54.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -47.8|Blue +47.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bethe CorreiaTargetShayna Baszler

By target zone

63% acc · 74%

Head

27% acc · 100%

74% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 1%

Leg

By position

64% acc · 62%

Distance

20% acc · 50%

69% acc · 37%

Clinch

40% acc · 50%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bethe Correia rounds

even

Shayna Baszler rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control2:23

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:55Control

Round 2Bethe Correia edged it

Sig. strikes63

Takedowns0

Control0:13

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 103

Sig Strikes

8 / 30

64%

Sig Str %

31.5%

97 / 132

Total Strikes

19 / 41

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

16.5%

Sub Att

Rev

2:36

Ctrl Time

1:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Shayna Baszler	3 / 7	14 / 18	1 / 3	1
1	Bethe Correia	5 / 8	29 / 32	0 / 0	0
2	Shayna Baszler	5 / 23	5 / 23	0 / 1	0
2	Bethe Correia	63 / 95	68 / 100	0 / 0	0

Bethe Correia

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights11

Shayna Baszler

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights2