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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Pannie Kianzad won · U-DEC R3

Elo1409

Elo1491

Bethe CorreiavsPannie KianzadUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · Saturday, July 25, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Pannie Kianzad won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBethe Correia: Pressure fightervsPannie Kianzad: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Pannie Kianzad wins(50.0%)

Actual result: Pannie Kianzad wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pannie Kianzad at -162 American odds

+$62 profit

$162 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bethe Correia has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bethe Correia

Red Corner

Pannie Kianzad

Blue Corner

+131

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-162

(62%)

1409

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bethe Correia

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Sep 16

KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17

SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 21

latest

Pannie KianzadL3 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Sep 21

vs Lina Lansberg · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jul 23

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 24

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bethe CorreiaMetricPannie Kianzad

4.37

Strikes / min

4.88

4.93

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

56%

Strike defense

51%

0.39

TDs / 15 min

0.41

85%

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.56Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bethe CorreiaPannie Kianzad

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bethe Correia(10 fights)Pannie Kianzad(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -81.7|Blue +81.7

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +3.0|Blue -3.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bethe CorreiaTargetPannie Kianzad

By target zone

34% acc · 71%

Head

45% acc · 74%

70% acc · 25%

Body

71% acc · 10%

33% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

37% acc · 82%

Distance

51% acc · 94%

60% acc · 16%

Clinch

75% acc · 6%

50% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bethe Correia rounds

even

Pannie Kianzad rounds

Round 1Pannie Kianzad edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:08

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:21

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Pannie Kianzad edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control0:32

48Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 143

Sig Strikes

103 / 199

38.7%

Sig Str %

51%

83 / 178

Total Strikes

106 / 205

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

16.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:01

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Pannie Kianzad	30 / 68	31 / 71	0 / 0
1	Bethe Correia	18 / 47	19 / 48	0 / 2
2	Pannie Kianzad	25 / 48	27 / 51	0 / 0
2	Bethe Correia	22 / 51	43 / 80	0 / 0
3	Pannie Kianzad	48 / 83	48 / 83	0 / 0
3	Bethe Correia	16 / 45	21 / 50	1 / 3

Bethe Correia

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights11

Pannie Kianzad

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11