Flyweight

3 Rounds

Fredy Serrano won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1490

Elo1359

Bentley SylervsFredy SerranoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · Saturday, March 21, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Fredy Serrano won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:34

Model Prediction: Bentley Syler wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Fredy Serrano wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bentley Syler at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bentley Syler has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Bentley Syler

Red Corner

Fredy Serrano

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1490

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'3"

172.72 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bentley SylerNo prior UFC fights on record.

Fredy SerranoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Yao Zhikui · Nov 15

vs Ryan Benoit · Jul 16

vs Hector Sandoval · Dec 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bentley SylerMetricFredy Serrano

1.30

Strikes / min

1.58

1.73

Strikes absorbed / min

1.89

79%

Strike defense

61%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.84

75%

Takedown defense

84%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.43evenly matched on net striking-0.31

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bentley Syler(1 fights)Fredy Serrano(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.6|Blue -131.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bentley SylerTargetFredy Serrano

By target zone

13% acc · 53%

Head

18% acc · 80%

25% acc · 7%

Body

33% acc · 15%

55% acc · 40%

Leg

50% acc · 5%

By position

18% acc · 93%

Distance

20% acc · 95%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

20% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bentley Syler rounds

even

Fredy Serrano rounds

Round 1Fredy Serrano edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Fredy Serrano edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:20Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 79

Sig Strikes

20 / 98

16.3%

Sig Str %

20.7%

25 / 90

Total Strikes

20 / 98

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 8

—

TD %

40%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Fredy Serrano	11 / 42	11 / 42	1 / 5
1	Bentley Syler	7 / 34	14 / 41	0 / 0
2	Fredy Serrano	6 / 43	6 / 43	0 / 2
2	Bentley Syler	7 / 31	7 / 31	0 / 0
3	Fredy Serrano	3 / 13	3 / 13	1 / 1
3	Bentley Syler	1 / 14	4 / 18	0 / 0

Bentley Syler

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach—

Fights1

Fredy Serrano

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4