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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Benson Henderson won · SUB R4

Elo1490

Elo1492

Benson HendersonvsRustam KhabilovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · Saturday, June 7, 2014Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA

Official fight result

Benson Henderson won

SUB · Round 4 · 1:16

Style matchupBenson Henderson: WrestlervsRustam Khabilov: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Benson Henderson wins(74.1%)

Actual result: Benson Henderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benson Henderson at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Benson Henderson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Benson Henderson

Red Corner

Rustam Khabilov

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+205

(33%)

1490

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Benson HendersonW2 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Thomson · Jan 14

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 14

vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15

SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Feb 15

vs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 15

latest

Rustam Khabilov

oldest →

vs Jason Saggo · Dec 16

vs Desmond Green · Sep 17

vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18

vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19

vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Benson HendersonMetricRustam Khabilov

2.93

Strikes / min

1.98

1.79

Strikes absorbed / min

2.16

63%

Strike defense

65%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

3.95

63%

Takedown defense

61%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.14Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Benson HendersonRustam Khabilov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Benson Henderson(10 fights)Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +2.9|Blue -2.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -80.0|Blue +80.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Benson HendersonTargetRustam Khabilov

By target zone

24% acc · 42%

Head

17% acc · 61%

73% acc · 31%

Body

63% acc · 28%

50% acc · 27%

Leg

40% acc · 11%

By position

34% acc · 81%

Distance

14% acc · 44%

40% acc · 8%

Clinch

73% acc · 44%

100% acc · 12%

Ground

22% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Benson Henderson rounds

even

Rustam Khabilov rounds

Round 1Rustam Khabilov edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:01

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:59Control

Round 2Benson Henderson edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control1:45

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:32Control

Round 3Rustam Khabilov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:58

5Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:23Control

Round 4Benson Henderson edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 70

Sig Strikes

18 / 77

38%

Sig Str %

18.5%

48 / 95

Total Strikes

32 / 92

1 / 3

TDs

6 / 10

25%

TD %

63.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:52

Ctrl Time

2:57

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rustam Khabilov	9 / 30	13 / 35	2 / 5	0
1	Benson Henderson	4 / 23	7 / 28	0 / 0	0
2	Benson Henderson	12 / 21	24 / 34	1 / 2	0
2	Rustam Khabilov	4 / 23	10 / 29	1 / 2	0
3	Rustam Khabilov	5 / 18	9 / 22	3 / 3	0
3	Benson Henderson	7 / 19	14 / 26	0 / 0	1
4	Rustam Khabilov	0 / 6	0 / 6	0 / 0	0
4	Benson Henderson	3 / 7	3 / 7	0 / 1	1

Benson Henderson

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Rustam Khabilov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13