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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Rafael Dos Anjos won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1491

Benson HendersonvsRafael Dos AnjosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA

Official fight result

Rafael Dos Anjos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:31

Model Prediction: Benson Henderson wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benson Henderson at -510 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Benson Henderson

Red Corner

Rafael Dos Anjos

Blue Corner

-510

(84%)

Vegas Odds

+440

(19%)

1490

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Benson HendersonW2 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Thomson · Jan 14

SUBvs Rustam Khabilov · Jun 14

vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15

SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Feb 15

vs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 15

latest

Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22

SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22

vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24

KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Benson HendersonMetricRafael Dos Anjos

2.93

Strikes / min

3.48

1.79

Strikes absorbed / min

3.23

63%

Strike defense

60%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

1.95

63%

Takedown defense

54%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.14evenly matched on net striking+0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Benson HendersonRafael Dos Anjos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Benson Henderson(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Benson HendersonTargetRafael Dos Anjos

By target zone

17% acc · 30%

Head

50% acc · 61%

67% acc · 40%

Body

80% acc · 22%

100% acc · 30%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

37% acc · 100%

Distance

60% acc · 83%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

33% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Benson Henderson rounds

even

Rafael Dos Anjos rounds

Round 1Rafael Dos Anjos edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns0

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 27

Sig Strikes

18 / 30

37%

Sig Str %

60%

10 / 27

Total Strikes

18 / 30

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rafael Dos Anjos	18 / 30	18 / 30	0 / 0	0
1	Benson Henderson	10 / 27	10 / 27	0 / 1	0

Benson Henderson

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Rafael Dos Anjos

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights32