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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Benson Henderson won · S-DEC R5

Elo1490

Elo1441

Benson HendersonvsFrankie EdgarUFC Prediction Result

UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · Saturday, August 11, 2012Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Benson Henderson won

S-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupBenson Henderson: WrestlervsFrankie Edgar: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Benson Henderson wins(79.9%)

Actual result: Benson Henderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benson Henderson at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Benson Henderson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Benson Henderson

Red Corner

Frankie Edgar

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1490

Elo

1441

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Benson HendersonW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Rustam Khabilov · Jun 14

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 14

vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15

SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Feb 15

vs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 15

latest

Frankie EdgarL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21

KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21

KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Benson HendersonMetricFrankie Edgar

2.93

Strikes / min

3.77

1.79

Strikes absorbed / min

2.82

63%

Strike defense

65%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

2.29

63%

Takedown defense

65%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.14evenly matched on net striking+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Benson HendersonFrankie Edgar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Benson Henderson(10 fights)Frankie Edgar(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Benson HendersonTargetFrankie Edgar

By target zone

27% acc · 52%

Head

23% acc · 44%

74% acc · 22%

Body

63% acc · 26%

71% acc · 27%

Leg

69% acc · 30%

By position

38% acc · 97%

Distance

35% acc · 92%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

75% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Benson Henderson rounds

even

Frankie Edgar rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:07

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 2Frankie Edgar edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:48Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Frankie Edgar edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Frankie Edgar edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 5Frankie Edgar edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 167

Sig Strikes

66 / 182

37.8%

Sig Str %

35%

67 / 170

Total Strikes

70 / 186

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 6

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

2:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Benson Henderson	11 / 28	12 / 29	0 / 0	1
1	Frankie Edgar	7 / 28	7 / 28	1 / 2	0
2	Frankie Edgar	10 / 28	12 / 30	0 / 1	1
2	Benson Henderson	7 / 19	9 / 21	0 / 1	0
3	Frankie Edgar	15 / 35	15 / 35	0 / 0	0
3	Benson Henderson	13 / 39	13 / 39	0 / 0	0
4	Benson Henderson	17 / 43	17 / 43	0 / 0	0
4	Frankie Edgar	15 / 43	17 / 45	1 / 2	1
5	Frankie Edgar	19 / 48	19 / 48	0 / 1	0
5	Benson Henderson	16 / 38	16 / 38	0 / 0	0

Benson Henderson

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Frankie Edgar

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights22