← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Anthony Pettis won · SUB R1

Elo1490

Elo1493

Benson HendersonvsAnthony PettisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · Saturday, August 31, 2013Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Pettis won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:41

Style matchupBenson Henderson: WrestlervsAnthony Pettis: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Benson Henderson wins(73.6%)

Actual result: Anthony Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benson Henderson at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Benson Henderson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Benson Henderson

Red Corner

Anthony Pettis

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1490

Elo

1493

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Benson HendersonW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Rustam Khabilov · Jun 14

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 14

vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15

SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Feb 15

vs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 15

latest

Anthony PettisW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19

vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19

SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20

vs Donald Cerrone · May 20

vs Alex Morono · Dec 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Benson HendersonMetricAnthony Pettis

2.93

Strikes / min

3.05

1.79

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

63%

Strike defense

54%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

0.61

63%

Takedown defense

60%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.14Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap-0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Benson HendersonAnthony Pettis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Benson Henderson(10 fights)Anthony Pettis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.6|Blue +2.6

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +2.5|Blue -2.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Benson HendersonTargetAnthony Pettis

By target zone

38% acc · 27%

Head

33% acc · 33%

100% acc · 27%

Body

86% acc · 67%

100% acc · 45%

Leg

By position

44% acc · 36%

Distance

56% acc · 100%

100% acc · 55%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Benson Henderson rounds

even

Anthony Pettis rounds

Round 1Benson Henderson edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control3:07

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 16

Sig Strikes

9 / 16

68%

Sig Str %

56%

26 / 37

Total Strikes

10 / 17

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:07

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anthony Pettis	9 / 16	10 / 17	0 / 0	1
1	Benson Henderson	11 / 16	26 / 37	0 / 3	0

Benson Henderson

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Anthony Pettis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights20