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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Benoit Saint Denis won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1546

Benoit Saint Denis editorial illustration

Elo1482

Benoit Saint DenisvsGabriel MirandaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Saturday, September 3, 2022Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Benoit Saint Denis won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:16

Style matchupBenoit Saint Denis: WrestlervsGabriel Miranda: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(77.5%)

Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benoit Saint Denis at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Benoit Saint Denis is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Gabriel Miranda has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Benoit Saint Denis has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Benoit Saint Denis

Red Corner

Gabriel Miranda

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1546

Elo

1482

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Benoit Saint Denis

oldest →

SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25

SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26

SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26

latest

Gabriel MirandaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Shane Young · Sep 23

KOvs Morgan Charriere · Sep 24

KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Benoit Saint DenisMetricGabriel Miranda

5.62

Strikes / min

3.23

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

6.01

42%

Strike defense

37%

4.19

TDs / 15 min

4.75

72%

Takedown defense

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.53Δ 4.31 — meaningful gap-2.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Benoit Saint DenisGabriel Miranda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)Gabriel Miranda(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +64.5|Blue -64.5

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.1|Blue +49.1

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Benoit Saint DenisTargetGabriel Miranda

By target zone

59% acc · 83%

Head

43% acc · 65%

83% acc · 12%

Body

100% acc · 35%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

By position

56% acc · 57%

Distance

50% acc · 85%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 15%

73% acc · 38%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Benoit Saint Denis rounds

even

Gabriel Miranda rounds

Round 1Benoit Saint Denis edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns1

Control3:14

Knockdowns2

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:20Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Benoit Saint Denis edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 67

Sig Strikes

20 / 37

62.5%

Sig Str %

59%

81 / 110

Total Strikes

33 / 53

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 3

100%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

3:17

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gabriel Miranda	18 / 34	31 / 50	1 / 3
1	Benoit Saint Denis	35 / 56	74 / 99	1 / 1
2	Gabriel Miranda	2 / 3	2 / 3	0 / 0
2	Benoit Saint Denis	7 / 11	7 / 11	0 / 0

Benoit Saint Denis

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13

Gabriel Miranda

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4