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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Beneil Dariush won · U-DEC R3

Elo1480

Elo1486

Beneil DariushvsThiago MoisesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, November 10, 2018Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsThiago Moises: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Beneil Dariush wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Beneil Dariush at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Beneil Dariush has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush

Red Corner

Thiago Moises

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1480

Elo

1486

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Thiago MoisesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24

vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24

vs Trey Ogden · Jan 25

KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25

DECvs Gauge Young · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricThiago Moises

3.74

Strikes / min

2.52

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

57%

Strike defense

52%

2.21

TDs / 15 min

1.37

82%

Takedown defense

52%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap-1.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Beneil DariushThiago Moises

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Thiago Moises(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -5.4|Blue +5.4

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -48.5|Blue +48.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetThiago Moises

By target zone

50% acc · 50%

Head

45% acc · 63%

92% acc · 25%

Body

60% acc · 38%

92% acc · 25%

Leg

By position

44% acc · 16%

Distance

46% acc · 75%

75% acc · 7%

Clinch

50% acc · 13%

71% acc · 77%

Ground

100% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Beneil Dariush rounds

even

Thiago Moises rounds

Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control4:08

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns3

Control4:41

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control4:41

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 68

Sig Strikes

8 / 16

64%

Sig Str %

52.3%

113 / 161

Total Strikes

20 / 30

4 / 8

TDs

0 / 2

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

13:30

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Thiago Moises	4 / 6	9 / 12	0 / 2	3
1	Beneil Dariush	20 / 31	34 / 49	1 / 4	0
2	Thiago Moises	1 / 6	5 / 10	0 / 0	0
2	Beneil Dariush	15 / 22	42 / 53	3 / 4	1
3	Thiago Moises	3 / 4	6 / 8	0 / 0	1
3	Beneil Dariush	9 / 15	37 / 59	0 / 0	1

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24

Thiago Moises

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15