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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Beneil Dariush won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1480

Elo1443

Beneil DariushvsScott HoltzmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Saturday, August 8, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:38

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsScott Holtzman: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Beneil Dariush wins(64.0%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Beneil Dariush at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Beneil Dariush has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush

Red Corner

Scott Holtzman

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1480

Elo

1443

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Scott HoltzmanL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nik Lentz · Feb 19

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19

vs Jim Miller · Feb 20

KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21

vs Clay Guida · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricScott Holtzman

3.74

Strikes / min

4.32

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

3.66

57%

Strike defense

55%

2.21

TDs / 15 min

1.88

82%

Takedown defense

67%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11evenly matched on net striking+0.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Beneil DariushScott Holtzman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Scott Holtzman(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +37.2|Blue -37.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetScott Holtzman

By target zone

53% acc · 83%

Head

33% acc · 44%

75% acc · 8%

Body

75% acc · 33%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

55% acc · 92%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

75% acc · 8%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Beneil Dariush rounds

even

Scott Holtzman rounds

Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control1:57

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 64

Sig Strikes

9 / 18

56%

Sig Str %

50%

36 / 64

Total Strikes

11 / 20

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:57

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Scott Holtzman	9 / 18	11 / 20	0 / 1	0
1	Beneil Dariush	36 / 64	36 / 64	0 / 2	0

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24

Scott Holtzman

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights13