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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Beneil Dariush won · U-DEC R3

Elo1480

Elo1491

Beneil DariushvsRashid MagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · Saturday, November 5, 2016Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsRashid Magomedov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Rashid Magomedov wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rashid Magomedov at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rashid Magomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush

Red Corner

Rashid Magomedov

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1480

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Rashid MagomedovW5 streak

oldest →

vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Feb 14

vs Rodrigo Damm · May 14

KOvs Elias Silverio · Dec 14

vs Gilbert Burns · Nov 15

vs Bobby Green · Apr 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricRashid Magomedov

3.74

Strikes / min

4.40

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

57%

Strike defense

54%

2.21

TDs / 15 min

0.67

82%

Takedown defense

89%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11evenly matched on net striking+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Beneil DariushRashid Magomedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Rashid Magomedov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.4|Blue +10.4

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -210.0|Blue +210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetRashid Magomedov

By target zone

33% acc · 33%

Head

44% acc · 59%

64% acc · 47%

Body

70% acc · 34%

80% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

35% acc · 42%

Distance

49% acc · 68%

71% acc · 58%

Clinch

68% acc · 32%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Beneil Dariush rounds

even

Rashid Magomedov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:36

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 2Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control2:13

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:21

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 120

Sig Strikes

41 / 78

49.7%

Sig Str %

54.7%

73 / 134

Total Strikes

79 / 129

0 / 5

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

4:10

Ctrl Time

2:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rashid Magomedov	13 / 19	26 / 34	1 / 1
1	Beneil Dariush	18 / 38	22 / 43	0 / 4
2	Rashid Magomedov	11 / 21	24 / 42	0 / 1
2	Beneil Dariush	20 / 37	23 / 40	0 / 0
3	Rashid Magomedov	17 / 38	29 / 53	0 / 0
3	Beneil Dariush	22 / 45	28 / 51	0 / 1

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24

Rashid Magomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6