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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Beneil Dariush won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1480

Elo1377

Beneil DariushvsJames VickUFC Prediction Result

UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Saturday, June 4, 2016Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:16

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsJames Vick: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: James Vick wins(60.9%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Vick at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Beneil Dariush has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).
James Vick has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush

Red Corner

James Vick

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1480

Elo

1377

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'3"

182.88 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

James VickL4 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18

vs Paul Felder · Feb 19

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19

KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricJames Vick

3.74

Strikes / min

4.13

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

57%

Strike defense

60%

2.21

TDs / 15 min

0.26

82%

Takedown defense

57%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11evenly matched on net striking+0.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Beneil DariushJames Vick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Beneil Dariush(10 fights)James Vick(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +103.5|Blue -103.5

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetJames Vick

By target zone

59% acc · 72%

Head

29% acc · 56%

90% acc · 20%

Body

33% acc · 44%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

0% acc

By position

59% acc · 35%

Distance

20% acc · 56%

69% acc · 24%

Clinch

80% acc · 44%

70% acc · 41%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Beneil Dariush rounds

even

James Vick rounds

Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control1:21

Knockdowns2

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 70

Sig Strikes

9 / 30

65%

Sig Str %

30%

48 / 72

Total Strikes

10 / 31

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:21

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	James Vick	9 / 30	10 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Beneil Dariush	46 / 70	48 / 72	0 / 2	0

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24

James Vick

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14