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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Beneil Dariush won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1480
Beneil Dariush
Elo1513

Beneil DariushvsDrakkar KloseUFC Prediction Result

UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Saturday, March 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:00

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsDrakkar Klose: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Beneil Dariush wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Beneil Dariush at -162 American odds

+$62 profit

$162 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush
Red Corner
VS
Drakkar Klose
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+152
(40%)
1480
Elo
1513
37
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil DariushL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23
L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23
W
vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25
L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26
latest
Drakkar Klose
oldest →
W
vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 22
W
KOvs Joe Solecki · Dec 23
W
vs Joaquim Silva · May 24
L
KOvs Joel Alvarez · Dec 24
W
vs Edson Barboza · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricDrakkar Klose
3.74
Strikes / min
4.25
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
57%
Strike defense
49%
2.21
TDs / 15 min
1.49
82%
Takedown defense
69%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1614 vs 1556Strikes4.0 vs 4.0Takedowns1.8 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.00Form0.8 vs 0.8
Beneil DariushDrakkar Klose

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Drakkar Klose(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -33.1|Blue +33.1
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetDrakkar Klose

By target zone

8
50% acc · 67%
Head
12
55% acc · 80%
3
100% acc · 25%
Body
0
1
100% acc · 8%
Leg
3
100% acc · 20%

By position

12
60% acc · 100%
Distance
13
59% acc · 87%
0
Clinch
2
67% acc · 13%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Beneil Dariush rounds
0
even
0
Drakkar Klose rounds
Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control4:18
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
12 / 20
Sig Strikes
15 / 25
59%
Sig Str %
61.5%
17 / 28
Total Strikes
27 / 37
1 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
33%
TD %
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:20
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Drakkar Klose4 / 616 / 180 / 00
1Beneil Dariush5 / 910 / 171 / 32
2Drakkar Klose11 / 1911 / 190 / 00
2Beneil Dariush7 / 117 / 110 / 00

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights24

Drakkar Klose

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12