← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Benoit Saint Denis won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1480

Elo1546

Benoit Saint Denis editorial illustration

Beneil DariushvsBenoit Saint DenisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · Saturday, November 15, 2025New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Benoit Saint Denis won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:16

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsBenoit Saint Denis: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(83.9%)

Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benoit Saint Denis at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Benoit Saint Denis is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Beneil Dariush has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Beneil Dariush has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush

Red Corner

Benoit Saint Denis

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1480

Elo

1546

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil Dariush

oldest →

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 22

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Benoit Saint Denis

oldest →

KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24

SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25

SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26

SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricBenoit Saint Denis

3.74

Strikes / min

5.62

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

57%

Strike defense

42%

2.21

TDs / 15 min

4.19

82%

Takedown defense

72%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11evenly matched on net striking+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Beneil DariushBenoit Saint Denis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -65.7|Blue +65.7

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetBenoit Saint Denis

By target zone

0% acc

Head

60% acc · 100%

100% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 67%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 67%

Distance

0% acc

100% acc · 33%

Clinch

67% acc · 67%

Ground

100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Beneil Dariush rounds

even

Benoit Saint Denis rounds

Round 1Benoit Saint Denis edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 5

Sig Strikes

3 / 5

60%

Sig Str %

60%

3 / 5

Total Strikes

3 / 5

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Benoit Saint Denis	3 / 5	3 / 5	0 / 0	0
1	Beneil Dariush	3 / 5	3 / 5	0 / 0	0

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24

Benoit Saint Denis

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13