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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Beneil Dariush won · SUB R2
Elo1480
Beneil Dariush
Elo1492
Anthony Rocco Martin

Beneil DariushvsAnthony Rocco MartinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:38

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsAnthony Rocco Martin: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Anthony Rocco Martin wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Rocco Martin at -140 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Rocco Martin
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
1480
Elo
1492
37
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil DariushL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23
L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23
W
vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25
L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26
latest
Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →
W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18
W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18
W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18
W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19
L
vs Neil Magny · Jun 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricAnthony Rocco Martin
3.74
Strikes / min
2.68
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
57%
Strike defense
58%
2.21
TDs / 15 min
0.71
82%
Takedown defense
68%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1482Strikes9.0 vs 18.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 1.00Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Beneil DariushAnthony Rocco Martin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.1|Blue +12.1
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -69.0|Blue +69.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetAnthony Rocco Martin

By target zone

6
19% acc · 23%
Head
24
41% acc · 71%
17
71% acc · 65%
Body
2
50% acc · 6%
3
60% acc · 12%
Leg
8
89% acc · 24%

By position

15
32% acc · 58%
Distance
27
44% acc · 79%
11
79% acc · 42%
Clinch
7
64% acc · 21%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Beneil Dariush rounds
0
even
1
Anthony Rocco Martin rounds
Round 1Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:25
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 2Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:45
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:36Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
26 / 61
Sig Strikes
34 / 72
46%
Sig Str %
48%
30 / 65
Total Strikes
38 / 76
2 / 3
TDs
1 / 4
75%
TD %
50%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:10
Ctrl Time
2:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Anthony Rocco Martin27 / 5831 / 621 / 10
1Beneil Dariush15 / 4217 / 441 / 10
2Anthony Rocco Martin7 / 147 / 140 / 30
2Beneil Dariush11 / 1913 / 211 / 21

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights24

Anthony Rocco Martin

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13