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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Alexander Hernandez won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1480

Elo1523

Beneil DariushvsAlexander HernandezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Saturday, March 3, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alexander Hernandez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:42

Style matchupBeneil Dariush: WrestlervsAlexander Hernandez: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Beneil Dariush wins(74.6%)

Actual result: Alexander Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Beneil Dariush at -420 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alexander Hernandez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Beneil Dariush has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Beneil Dariush

Red Corner

Alexander Hernandez

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+335

(23%)

1480

Elo

1523

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Alexander Hernandez

oldest →

vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24

vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25

KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25

KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25

DECvs Rafa Garcia · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Beneil DariushMetricAlexander Hernandez

3.74

Strikes / min

4.23

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

57%

Strike defense

59%

2.21

TDs / 15 min

1.05

82%

Takedown defense

68%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Beneil DariushAlexander Hernandez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -42.9|Blue +42.9

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.6|Blue +48.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Beneil DariushTargetAlexander Hernandez

By target zone

29% acc · 50%

Head

50% acc · 63%

33% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 38%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

By position

36% acc · 100%

Distance

55% acc · 75%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Beneil Dariush rounds

even

Alexander Hernandez rounds

Round 1Alexander Hernandez edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 11

Sig Strikes

8 / 13

36%

Sig Str %

61%

4 / 11

Total Strikes

9 / 14

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alexander Hernandez	8 / 13	9 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Beneil Dariush	4 / 11	4 / 11	0 / 0	0

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24

Alexander Hernandez

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights18