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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Alex Garcia won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1353

Elo1368

Ben WallvsAlex GarciaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · Friday, December 6, 2013Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Alex Garcia won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:43

Model Prediction: Ben Wall wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Alex Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ben Wall at +540 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Garcia has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ben Wall has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ben Wall

Red Corner

Alex Garcia

Blue Corner

+540

(16%)

Vegas Odds

-660

(87%)

1353

Elo

1368

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ben Wall

oldest →

KOvs Justin Salas · May 14

latest

Alex GarciaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mike Pyle · Dec 16

vs Tim Means · Jun 17

SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17

vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 18

vs Court McGee · Oct 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ben WallMetricAlex Garcia

1.47

Strikes / min

1.81

8.53

Strikes absorbed / min

3.03

29%

Strike defense

59%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

3.72

100%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-7.06Δ 5.84 — meaningful gap-1.22

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ben Wall(2 fights)Alex Garcia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.2|Blue +15.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ben WallTargetAlex Garcia

By target zone

50% acc · 100%

Head

60% acc · 100%

Body

0% acc

Leg

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

57% acc · 89%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ben Wall rounds

even

Alex Garcia rounds

Round 1Alex Garcia edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 3

Sig Strikes

9 / 15

33%

Sig Str %

60%

1 / 3

Total Strikes

9 / 15

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Garcia	9 / 15	9 / 15	0 / 0	0
1	Ben Wall	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 1	0

Ben Wall

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Alex Garcia

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10