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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Mark Hunt won · U-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1369

Ben RothwellvsMark HuntUFC Prediction Result

UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · Saturday, September 24, 2011Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Mark Hunt won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBen Rothwell: Well-roundedvsMark Hunt: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Ben Rothwell wins(70.8%)

Actual result: Mark Hunt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ben Rothwell at -355 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ben Rothwell has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ben Rothwell

Red Corner

Mark Hunt

Blue Corner

-355

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+320

(24%)

1494

Elo

1369

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

5'10"

198.12 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ben Rothwell

oldest →

KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19

vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20

vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20

SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21

KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21

latest

Mark HuntL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17

vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18

vs Justin Willis · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ben RothwellMetricMark Hunt

3.71

Strikes / min

2.81

4.63

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

47%

Strike defense

51%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

0.51

70%

Takedown defense

64%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ben RothwellMark Hunt

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Mark Hunt(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +125.0|Blue -125.0

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +259.0|Blue -259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ben RothwellTargetMark Hunt

By target zone

38% acc · 100%

Head

48% acc · 94%

Body

100% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

24% acc · 47%

Distance

39% acc · 55%

Clinch

67% acc · 4%

83% acc · 53%

Ground

73% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ben Rothwell rounds

even

Mark Hunt rounds

Round 1Ben Rothwell edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns2

Control1:27

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 2Mark Hunt edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:08

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:21Control

Round 3Mark Hunt edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:37

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 50

Sig Strikes

47 / 95

33.7%

Sig Str %

49%

23 / 54

Total Strikes

120 / 173

2 / 14

TDs

2 / 4

8.3%

TD %

66.5%

Sub Att

Rev

2:12

Ctrl Time

6:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mark Hunt	7 / 29	12 / 34	0 / 0	0
1	Ben Rothwell	13 / 29	14 / 30	2 / 8	0
2	Mark Hunt	21 / 39	61 / 82	1 / 1	1
2	Ben Rothwell	3 / 10	3 / 10	0 / 2	0
3	Mark Hunt	19 / 27	47 / 57	1 / 3	0
3	Ben Rothwell	3 / 11	6 / 14	0 / 4	0

Ben Rothwell

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights16

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights16