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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ben Rothwell won · U-DEC R3
Elo1494
Elo1351
Gilbert Yvel

Ben RothwellvsGilbert YvelUFC Prediction Result

UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · Saturday, June 12, 2010Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Ben Rothwell won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ben Rothwell wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Ben Rothwell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ben Rothwell at +170 American odds

+$170 profit

$270 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ben Rothwell has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ben Rothwell
Red Corner
VS
Gilbert Yvel
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
1494
Elo
1351
44
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ben Rothwell
oldest →
W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19
W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20
L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20
W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21
L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21
latest
Gilbert Yvel
oldest →
L
KOvs Jon Madsen · Oct 10
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ben RothwellMetricGilbert Yvel
3.71
Strikes / min
1.05
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
1.78
47%
Strike defense
50%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
25%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.73

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes3.0 vs 3.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Ben RothwellGilbert Yvel

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Gilbert Yvel(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +143.3|Blue -143.3
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ben RothwellTargetGilbert Yvel

By target zone

32
55% acc · 73%
Head
30
54% acc · 91%
12
86% acc · 27%
Body
2
50% acc · 6%
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 3%

By position

3
38% acc · 7%
Distance
5
50% acc · 15%
6
60% acc · 14%
Clinch
5
33% acc · 15%
35
65% acc · 80%
Ground
23
64% acc · 70%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Ben Rothwell rounds
0
even
0
Gilbert Yvel rounds
Round 1Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control3:35
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 2Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns3
Control3:53
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Round 3Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control4:52
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
44 / 72
Sig Strikes
33 / 61
61.7%
Sig Str %
50.5%
120 / 167
Total Strikes
69 / 102
5 / 7
TDs
0 / 1
70.5%
TD %
0%
2
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
3
12:20
Ctrl Time
1:36

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Gilbert Yvel9 / 2413 / 280 / 01
1Ben Rothwell13 / 2734 / 502 / 31
2Gilbert Yvel24 / 3736 / 530 / 01
2Ben Rothwell18 / 2334 / 423 / 40
3Gilbert Yvel0 / 020 / 210 / 10
3Ben Rothwell13 / 2252 / 750 / 01

Ben Rothwell

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16

Gilbert Yvel

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2