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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Wes Schultz won · Submission R3
Elo1478
Elo1505

Ben JohnstonvsWes SchultzUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia

Official fight result

Wes Schultz won

Submission · Round 3 · 1:50

Style matchupBen Johnston: WrestlervsWes Schultz: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ben Johnston wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Wes Schultz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Wes Schultz has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Ben Johnston has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ben Johnston
Red Corner
VS
Wes Schultz
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1478
Elo
1505
35
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ben JohnstonNo prior UFC fights on record.
Wes Schultz
oldest →
L
KOvs Damian Pinas · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ben JohnstonMetricWes Schultz
1.01
Strikes / min
2.91
1.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.11
29%
Strike defense
43%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
2.39
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
3.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00evenly matched on net striking-0.20
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Ben Johnston(1 fights)Wes Schultz(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -27.1|Blue +27.1
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score
Red +49.3|Blue -49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ben Johnston

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights0

Wes Schultz

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights1