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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Belal Muhammad won · U-DEC R3

Elo1479

Elo1492

Belal MuhammadvsLyman GoodUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 20, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Belal Muhammad won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBelal Muhammad: WrestlervsLyman Good: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Belal Muhammad at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Belal Muhammad has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Belal Muhammad

Red Corner

Lyman Good

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1479

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Belal MuhammadL3 streak

oldest →

vs Gilbert Burns · May 23

vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24

vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25

vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25

DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26

latest

Lyman Good

oldest →

KOvs Andrew Craig · Jul 15

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jul 17

KOvs Ben Saunders · Nov 18

SUBvs Demian Maia · Feb 19

KOvs Chance Rencountre · Nov 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Belal MuhammadMetricLyman Good

4.43

Strikes / min

5.34

3.82

Strikes absorbed / min

4.01

55%

Strike defense

63%

2.14

TDs / 15 min

0.27

90%

Takedown defense

75%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.61evenly matched on net striking+1.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Belal MuhammadLyman Good

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Belal Muhammad(10 fights)Lyman Good(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.3|Blue +13.3

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Belal MuhammadTargetLyman Good

By target zone

40% acc · 71%

Head

38% acc · 67%

88% acc · 17%

Body

88% acc · 27%

91% acc · 12%

Leg

83% acc · 6%

By position

46% acc · 89%

Distance

41% acc · 79%

75% acc · 11%

Clinch

100% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Belal Muhammad rounds

even

Lyman Good rounds

Round 1Belal Muhammad edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Belal Muhammad edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:15

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Lyman Good edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control1:29

42Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

82 / 172

Sig Strikes

81 / 172

47.3%

Sig Str %

45%

86 / 176

Total Strikes

84 / 175

2 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

20%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:44

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lyman Good	18 / 47	18 / 47	0 / 0
1	Belal Muhammad	29 / 60	29 / 60	0 / 0
2	Lyman Good	21 / 54	21 / 54	0 / 0
2	Belal Muhammad	27 / 59	29 / 61	0 / 3
3	Lyman Good	42 / 71	45 / 74	0 / 0
3	Belal Muhammad	26 / 53	28 / 55	2 / 5

Belal Muhammad

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights21

Lyman Good

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6