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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jessica-Rose Clark won · S-DEC R3

Elo1365

Elo1460

Bec RawlingsvsJessica-Rose ClarkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · Saturday, November 18, 2017Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Jessica-Rose Clark won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBec Rawlings: Pressure fightervsJessica-Rose Clark: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Bec Rawlings wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Jessica-Rose Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bec Rawlings at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bec Rawlings enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bec Rawlings threatens submissions; Jessica-Rose Clark has lost 60% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Bec Rawlings

Red Corner

Jessica-Rose Clark

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1365

Elo

1460

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

162.56 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bec RawlingsL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Lisa Ellis · May 15

DECvs Seohee Ham · Mar 16

KOvs Paige VanZant · Aug 16

vs Tecia Torres · Feb 17

vs Ashlee Evans-Smith · Apr 18

latest

Jessica-Rose ClarkL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Sarah Alpar · Sep 20

vs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 21

SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Feb 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 22

SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bec RawlingsMetricJessica-Rose Clark

4.48

Strikes / min

3.73

5.66

Strikes absorbed / min

3.51

57%

Strike defense

58%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

1.66

68%

Takedown defense

62%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.18Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap+0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bec RawlingsJessica-Rose Clark

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bec Rawlings(7 fights)Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -95.0|Blue +95.0

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -47.2|Blue +47.2

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bec RawlingsTargetJessica-Rose Clark

By target zone

45% acc · 89%

Head

48% acc · 60%

50% acc · 11%

Body

73% acc · 16%

0% acc

Leg

92% acc · 24%

By position

42% acc · 91%

Distance

54% acc · 85%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

89% acc · 8%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bec Rawlings rounds

even

Jessica-Rose Clark rounds

Round 1Jessica-Rose Clark edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:48

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:37Control

Round 2Jessica-Rose Clark edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:49

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:39Control

Round 3Jessica-Rose Clark edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control0:45

46Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 145

Sig Strikes

101 / 174

44%

Sig Str %

59%

81 / 162

Total Strikes

108 / 181

2 / 3

TDs

2 / 3

66.7%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

2:22

Ctrl Time

5:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jessica-Rose Clark	29 / 54	31 / 56	0 / 0	0
1	Bec Rawlings	21 / 56	32 / 67	1 / 1	1
2	Jessica-Rose Clark	26 / 38	29 / 41	1 / 1	1
2	Bec Rawlings	11 / 25	11 / 25	0 / 1	0
3	Jessica-Rose Clark	46 / 82	48 / 84	1 / 2	0
3	Bec Rawlings	33 / 64	38 / 70	1 / 1	0

Bec Rawlings

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights7

Jessica-Rose Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights9