← All fights/Event page

Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Josiane Nunes won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1494

Elo1483

Bea MaleckivsJosiane NunesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Saturday, August 21, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Josiane Nunes won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:54

Style matchupBea Malecki: Pressure fightervsJosiane Nunes: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Josiane Nunes wins(57.8%)

Actual result: Josiane Nunes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josiane Nunes at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josiane Nunes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bea Malecki has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Bea Malecki has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Josiane Nunes (53.5%).
Bea Malecki has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bea Malecki

Red Corner

Josiane Nunes

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1494

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bea MaleckiW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Duda Santana · Jun 19

vs Veronica Macedo · Mar 20

latest

Josiane NunesL3 streak

oldest →

vs Ramona Pascual · Feb 22

vs Zarah Fairn · Jan 23

vs Chelsea Chandler · Mar 24

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Aug 24

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bea MaleckiMetricJosiane Nunes

6.84

Strikes / min

5.65

6.96

Strikes absorbed / min

5.76

62%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

78%

Takedown defense

58%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bea MaleckiJosiane Nunes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bea Malecki(3 fights)Josiane Nunes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.7|Blue -10.7

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bea MaleckiTargetJosiane Nunes

By target zone

25% acc · 37%

Head

29% acc · 50%

63% acc · 34%

Body

58% acc · 29%

100% acc · 29%

Leg

79% acc · 21%

By position

43% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 87%

Clinch

64% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bea Malecki rounds

even

Josiane Nunes rounds

Round 1Josiane Nunes edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

52Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 82

Sig Strikes

52 / 129

42%

Sig Str %

40%

35 / 82

Total Strikes

52 / 129

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Josiane Nunes	52 / 129	52 / 129	0 / 0	0
1	Bea Malecki	35 / 82	35 / 82	0 / 0	0

Bea Malecki

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3

Josiane Nunes

StanceSouthpaw

Height62.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6