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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Bea Malecki won · SUB R2

Elo1494

Elo1492

Bea MaleckivsDuda SantanaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Bea Malecki won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:59

Style matchupBea Malecki: Pressure fightervsDuda Santana: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Bea Malecki wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Bea Malecki wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bea Malecki at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Duda Santana has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Bea Malecki has 78pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bea Malecki

Red Corner

Duda Santana

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1494

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bea Malecki

oldest →

vs Veronica Macedo · Mar 20

KOvs Josiane Nunes · Aug 21

latest

Duda SantanaNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bea MaleckiMetricDuda Santana

6.84

Strikes / min

6.01

6.96

Strikes absorbed / min

2.72

62%

Strike defense

73%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

6.44

78%

Takedown defense

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.12Δ 3.41 — meaningful gap+3.29

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bea Malecki(3 fights)Duda Santana(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.1|Blue -2.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bea MaleckiTargetDuda Santana

By target zone

19% acc · 63%

Head

40% acc · 86%

83% acc · 26%

Body

20% acc · 5%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

67% acc · 10%

By position

26% acc · 95%

Distance

39% acc · 95%

Clinch

0% acc

50% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bea Malecki rounds

even

Duda Santana rounds

Round 1Duda Santana edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

35Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:27Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control1:09

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 71

Sig Strikes

42 / 106

25%

Sig Str %

38%

30 / 82

Total Strikes

48 / 112

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 5

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:09

Ctrl Time

2:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Duda Santana	35 / 87	41 / 93	3 / 3	0
1	Bea Malecki	15 / 53	22 / 60	0 / 0	0
2	Duda Santana	7 / 19	7 / 19	0 / 2	0
2	Bea Malecki	4 / 18	8 / 22	0 / 0	2

Bea Malecki

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3

Duda Santana

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights1