Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rousimar Palhares threatens submissions; Mike Massenzio has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Mike Massenzio has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Massenzio (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rousimar Palhares
oldest →W
SUBvs David Branch · Mar 11L
KOvs Alan Belcher · May 12L
KOvs Hector Lombard · Dec 12W
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Oct 13 Mike Massenzio
oldest →L
SUBvs Brian Stann · Aug 10L
vs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jun 11W
vs Steve Cantwell · Oct 11L
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · May 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rousimar PalharesMetricMike Massenzio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.29Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-1.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rousimar PalharesMike Massenzio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)Mike Massenzio(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.8|Blue -138.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rousimar PalharesTargetMike Massenzio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Rousimar Palhares rounds
Round 1Rousimar Palhares edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:01
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
