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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chase Hooper won · SUB R2

Elo1525

Elo1471

Chase HoopervsViacheslav BorshchevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · Saturday, May 11, 2024St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Chase Hooper won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:00

Style matchupChase Hooper: WrestlervsViacheslav Borshchev: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(81.7%)

Actual result: Chase Hooper wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Hooper at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viacheslav Borshchev enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Viacheslav Borshchev is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Chase Hooper has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Chase Hooper threatens submissions; Viacheslav Borshchev has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Viacheslav Borshchev has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).
Chase Hooper has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Viacheslav Borshchev

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1525

Elo

1471

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase Hooper

oldest →

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

vs Jim Miller · Apr 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26

latest

Viacheslav BorshchevL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Maheshate · May 23

vs James Llontop · Aug 24

vs Tom Nolan · Feb 25

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jun 25

vs Matheus Camilo · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase HooperMetricViacheslav Borshchev

4.50

Strikes / min

5.10

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

4.46

39%

Strike defense

57%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

0.00

55%

Takedown defense

43%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48evenly matched on net striking+0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase HooperViacheslav Borshchev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Hooper(10 fights)Viacheslav Borshchev(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +53.4|Blue -53.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red -182.0|Blue +182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase HooperTargetViacheslav Borshchev

By target zone

56% acc · 94%

Head

20% acc · 50%

80% acc · 6%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

17% acc · 6%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

67% acc · 94%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Hooper rounds

even

Viacheslav Borshchev rounds

Round 1Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control3:10

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control2:53

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 109

Sig Strikes

2 / 6

57%

Sig Str %

25%

129 / 217

Total Strikes

2 / 6

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:03

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Viacheslav Borshchev	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0	0
1	Chase Hooper	32 / 62	76 / 123	0 / 0	1
2	Viacheslav Borshchev	0 / 2	0 / 2	0 / 0	0
2	Chase Hooper	30 / 47	53 / 94	1 / 1	1

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Viacheslav Borshchev

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9