Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Martin Bravo has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24 Martin BravoL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 16L
KOvs Humberto Bandenay · Aug 17L
KOvs Steven Peterson · Sep 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricMartin Bravo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.12evenly matched on net striking+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex CaceresMartin Bravo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Martin Bravo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +123.5|Blue -123.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex CaceresTargetMartin Bravo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Martin Bravo edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:03
18Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:19Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:39
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 3Martin Bravo edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:02
37Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:57Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
