Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Will Campuzano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sergio Pettis has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Will CampuzanoL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Nick Pace · Dec 10L
vs Chris Cariaso · Jan 11L
vs Justin Scoggins · Mar 14 Sergio Pettis
oldest →L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Will CampuzanoMetricSergio Pettis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.39Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Will CampuzanoSergio Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Will Campuzano(4 fights)Sergio Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.9|Blue +138.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Will CampuzanoTargetSergio Pettis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns3
Control1:28
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:33
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:21Control
Round 3Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:29
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
