Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Brown has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Brown
oldest →L
KOvs Steven Siler · Aug 13 Daniel PinedaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike BrownMetricDaniel Pineda
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike BrownDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Brown(5 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +209.0|Blue -209.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike BrownTargetDaniel Pineda
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Brown edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control1:35
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Mike Brown edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control2:44
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control2:28
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
