Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Aguilar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jodie Esquibel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jodie Esquibel has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AguilarL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Claudia Gadelha · Aug 15L
vs Cortney Casey · May 17L
SUBvs Weili Zhang · Nov 18L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 19 Jodie EsquibelL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 17L
vs Hannah Cifers · Aug 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AguilarMetricJodie Esquibel
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.26Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jessica AguilarJodie Esquibel
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Aguilar(5 fights)Jodie Esquibel(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.6|Blue +3.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +161.0|Blue -161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jessica AguilarTargetJodie Esquibel
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jessica Aguilar edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control1:13
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Jessica Aguilar edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Jessica Aguilar edged it
Sig. strikes57
Takedowns0
Control0:21
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
