Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jake Matthews has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Emil Meek (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26 Emil MeekL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jan 18L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Jul 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricEmil Meek
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake MatthewsEmil Meek
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Emil Meek(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +141.3|Blue -141.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -440.0|Blue +440.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake MatthewsTargetEmil Meek
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control3:57
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control3:54
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Emil Meek edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:37
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
